Wednesday, July 8, 2009

Will Manik Urai Pull A Surprise?

Hantu Laut

After 20 years under PAS rule Kelantan is still underdeveloped and lagging behind other states.What has PAS or Nik Aziz, for that matter, done for Kelantan that made the Kelantanese so subservient to this wily old man at the expense of losing out to progress and development? Should the Kelantanese continue supporting this man who put more emphasis on the afterlife than the well-being of his subjects.

Islam is a religion that orders its followers to be part and parcel of a working and productive society.The Prophet Muhammad himself, who is considered a paragon of virtues in Islam, used to pray seeking God’s refuge from laziness or idleness.In his instructions to Muslims on this aspect, the Prophet Muhammad strikes a balance between worship and work.

For two decades Kelantan under PAS which should put equal amount of effort in work as in worship is still lagging behind other states.

In term of social and economic terms Kelantan is a far cry from the rest of the nation.Should the Kelantanese continue to wallow in their parochial pride and forsake progress and development?

There are many qualified and capable leaders in PAS but have not been able to come out to the forefront as a show of respect to the Tok Guru, who is revered by most Kelantanese.The recent disagreement about the unity talk between PAS and UMNO where Tok Guru prevailed in his objection is an example of his popularity in Kelantan.

It is a matter of time that the unity talk would be raised again by those who feel the Malays are losing grip of their political power after the 8 March General Elections and the continued onslaught by DAP and PKR to capture Putrajaya had made some leaders in PAS uncomfortable.With Malays divided between PAS and UMNO the biggest worry is PAS might end up playing second or third fiddle in Pakatan if they won the next general elections.

Since after March 2008 Kelantan has become a bastion for PAS.The BN was almost completely routed here.It has lost 4 out of 5 by-elections in other states.BN biggest let down was when it lost the Kuala Trengganu parliamentary seat to PAS which it won in the March 2008 elections.

Manik Urai will be a testing ground for the BN whether it can regain a better and bigger foothold in Kelantan. In 2004 elections when Malaysians were euphoric about Abdullah new and untested leadership Kelantan almost fell to the BN.PAS won by 1 seat majority.

In the March 2008 Manik Urai state seat PAS candidate Ismail Yaakob polled 5746 votes against UMNO candidate Mohamed Zulkifli Omar who got 4394 votes.PAS won by majority of 1352 votes.

UMNO has a good chance of narrowing the majority gap or even wrestle the seat from PAS if they work hard enough.Most of their losses in past by-elections were due to loss of confidence,demoralisation, bad planning and poor strategy.

UMNO has a good chance of pulling the rug from under the feet if they can put their act together. Being the accused it should adopt defensive campaigning rather than going on the attack.

With the right strategy and with Najib's popularity on the rise, Manik Urai might pull a surprise.

Monday, July 6, 2009

Is Anwar Living In A State Of Denial ?

Hantu Laut

There is no rift in Pakatan Rakyat says Anwar Ibrahim.If there is none why bother to meet those embroiled in the crisis.

NST reported here.


Is Anwar Ibrahim living in a state of denial?

We'll see, how long before the next recrimination.


Eddy, a regular commentator to this blog has written an interesting piece which deserves to be on the front page rather than hidden in the comment column.

Eddy says:

I agree that the damage done during Abdullah's tenure needed serious repair but to have Najib do the repairs immediately will be a tall order.

However, Najib has bitten the bullet early and done many reforms to the economic and education landscape to suit the changing times. In less than 100 days of becoming PM, he has made decisions even Dr Mahathir fear to thread lest he be accused of pandering to the non Malays. Even now there are many voices voicing out their dissatisfaction to Najib on even the dismantling of some negative aspects of the DEB while keeping most of the positives which proved to be beneficial to all.

I am very optimistic that the partnership between Najib and his Timbalan, Muhyiddin will yield the right result for a better Malaysia for all races, but the changes and reforms made will take at least two years to get the desired results and that is provided that Najib takes good advise from all, including both the veterans and the youths. For example in carrying out the necessary reforms he must make sure that he do not interfere with the affairs of Petronas and not be beholden to young advisers from Ethos consultant who do not know Malaysia's history and stay clear of any new bridge to Singapore before settling the JB scenic bridge problem. If Najib stays clear from these minefields and others like it, Najib will have the support of the majority Malays/Bumiputras and I dare say Indians.

I am not sure about the majority Peninsular Chinese though, they seemed to want more of everything economically and now politically as well and going by the trend they will probably vote enmasse next GE for DAP or PKR, so, whatever good Najib and BN does will be to no avail "macam simbah air atas keladilah" especially now that DAP a Chinese based party is proving that they are the ones in Pakatan setting the direction that the loose coalition takes. That is my thoughts, I hope I am wrong.

Next stop is the liberalisation of the auto industry, wean Proton and Perodua from Government protection starting with the 1600cc cars and below so that cars like the Honda Jazz can be priced at 60-65k. Cars below 1600cc should be priced between just 35k to 65k only depending on its quality, Malaysians should start paying cars for the price our friends in Thailand pays. If Najib does this, he and BN will be most popular people among the youths of all races I think.Popularity translates into votes for BN.

Personally, I think Najib has a long term plan to ensure that in the next GE but in war as in politics he cannot show all his strategy at once, BN will be assured of victory and regain lost ground with or without the majority of the Peninsular Chinese votes, what he is doing now is to regain as much lost ground for MCA and Gerakan as possible as it seems that both of these parties are still in sixes and sevens due to the DAP merciless onslaught on them, while at the same time keeping a very close eye on Sabah and Sarawak where the next GE will be lost or won actually.

Talking about elections Bro, in Manik Urai, I think its a no brainer that PAS will win, as long as the wily old man Nik Aziz is around in Kelantan, UMNO does not have a chance. Nik Aziz is numero uno in Kelantan, they even say that when you see his potrait you are blessed, with that, I know UMNO is a goner in this by-election and it has nothing to do with politics just Nik Aziz's popularity.

No worries there,Bro, its just a small pitched battle which could be lost , but I hope UMNO/BN would not give up easily without a fight. The war in the next GE is where BN would ultimately triumph, hero selalu kalah dulu, akhir sekali baru menang. Cheers.

July 6, 2009 6:55 PM

Delete

Lim Guan Eng Green Horn Or Perspective Distortion ?

Hantu Laut

A government smothered in avalanches of recrimination and orgies of passing the buck. A government in immaturity? Greener than the grass?

Lim Guan Eng is now trying to shift the blame and responsibility to the Federal government.He is writing to Najib asking the Federal government to acquire the land at Kampung Buah Pala to be given to the squatters.Just over 20 squatters putting a gun to his head and he giving credence to their demand.A leader who can't tell a molehill from a mountain.

If you can't do the job or the seat too hot and is burning your arse, the rightful thing to do is to step down and give it to someone who has the guts and gumption to do the right thing.


The conclusion?

He would tell Pakatan supporters, he has done his job, the Federal government refused to pay and who to blame.... the Federal government.

Certainly, a perspective distortion and his doped supporters would agree with him.

What a ruse!

Sunday, July 5, 2009

An Analysis Fits For The Garbage Bin.

Hantu Laut

If they can fight over one miserable pig slaughter house, can you expect them to look at the bigger picture for the greater good of the nation?

Unlike Perak where the PAS Menteri Besar's tenancy depended on
DAP patronage, the arm-twisting in Kedah did not bring the desired result.PAS does not need DAP in Kedah.The Perak crisis was a DAP crisis, successfully amplified by them portraying PAS as the victim so as to rile up the Malays in Perak to rally behind Pakatan.In Kedah PAS is the boss.

In Penang DAP is the boss.Penang Chief Minister Lim Guan Eng lamented that some members of PKR were trying to be heroes and trying to sabotage him in the Kampung Buah Pala crisis.Why is Lim dragging his feet on this issue when he has the opportunity and the power to help the villagers by giving them alternative state land to occupy instead of making excuses that the land is too expensive to acquire and he is helpless to do anything because the problem was created by the BN government.

Look like a partnership made in hell.Since day one, DAP and PKR have been at loggerhead with each other.There is no general consensus or comradeship among these amateurish politicians.There are more racists, chauvinists and bigots in this group than in the BN in the past 50 years.Their promises of equality among the races and one identity were just that ..... hot air!

Penang state PKR chairman Datuk Zahrain Mohamed Hashim accused Penang Chief Minister Lim Guan Eng of failing to practise the principles of justice and compassion over the sacking of PKR Seberang Prai municipal councillor Johari Kassim.

Johari was sacked for leading a boycott by eight PKR councillors against the swearing in of ex district officer Mokthar Mohd Jait as new council president.PKR wanted politician not civil servant to head the council.

Lim Guan Eng must have been a closet dictator and is now showing his true colour, absolute power corrupt absolutely.He forgets that he is in a coalition government and that DAP is not the sole ruling party in Penang.There should be consultation and a give and take attitude as the relationship among the three were not built on trust but on matter of convenience.

On another front, PKR's Kulim MP Zulkifli Noordin told DAP to go their own way, in another word, to get lost.

Khairy Jamaluddin may be right about Malaysian Insider.It's seems to be pandering to what readers want to read rather than purveying the truth and legitimate news.Some of its analysis were way down bias and one-sided.It started on the right footing but lately is following the footsteps of Malaysiakini, catering to the anti-establishment crowd.

It so-called analysis under its heading "As Pakatan squabbles, Malaysians left between a rock and a harder place" is left much to be desired. Below are some excerpts from the analysis.

And yes, the two-coalition system which we hoped for may not take off.

But even PAS, PKR and DAP standing on an individual platform appear to still offer more than what Umno and Barisan Nasional (BN) can offer.

Umno has not changed much since March 2008.

It remains arrogant and corrupt. Few of its office bearers can pass the living beyond your means test.

In fact several of its MPs will not be able to account for their cars, houses or wealth they have to the Malaysian Anti-Corruption Commission (MACC).

Tun Dr Mahathir Mohamad is right.

Several of them should not be in Cabinet or hold positions in the party. But they do.

Despite the prime minister’s promise of reforms, most of his party members from his deputy downwards continue to rely on the old race card.

If anything the words coming out from the mouths of some Umno members have made it hard for Malaysians to believe that the party has changed much since last March.

BN’s component parties have also not represented the interests of the non-Malay communities for years now.

How could it be true that as a single entity PAS,PKR and DAP can offer more than UMNO and the BN.All three had over the year been working together and what in term of performance have they shown to Malaysians in the states under their control?All they did was squabbling and bickering at each other and blaming the BN for their ineptitude. They can't even run a small state like Penang properly, can you expect them to take over and take care of the Federal government?

Sure, UMNO might not have changed much since March 2008, so is Pakatan, it has not shown any outstanding performance, in fact I would rate these amateurs poorly and worse. They spent more time going at each other's throat than getting down to doing real work There were also traces of corruption in the states under their administration.This sickness that they talk so much about getting rid of could get bigger if they take over the Federal government where the kitty is much bigger. Their promise of getting rid of corruption would probably end up just like Abdullah's promise.

Sure,Tun Mahathir was right in what he said but corruption is not a newly invented game it has been there since his time.Mahathir himself may not be corrupted but corruption was ripe in UMNO then.

UMNO using the race card, that's nothing new, what about Pakatan , are they not using the race card too.What happened in Penang and Kedah ? If Pakatan is truly colour blind do you think that small issue of the 'kandang putung babi' could turn into a major disaster.

To say the BN has become irrelevant is certainly not true.The result of the 2008 General Elections below shows it was a temporary setback.It was short of only 8 seats to get the two-thirds majority. With the required reforms implemented from now on the BN is likely to show a big surprise in the next general elections.


Elections 2008

Parliament




Barisan Nasional 140




Opposition 82




Independent 0





State





Barisan Nasional 307




Opposition 196




Independent 2


| full results


Elections 2004

Parliament




Barisan Nasional 198




Opposition 20




Independent 1



* BN wins with 2/3 majority

State





Barisan Nasional 453




Opposition 51




Independent 1


| full results

To say Najib has not taken steps to reform government policies is pulling wool over sheep's eyes, the writer is either blind or illiterate.

This kind of analysis is worth where it should be...in the garbage bin.