Najib may lose the government in the 13th GE if Sabah and Sarawak failed to deliver the states to BN . Najib's dream of retaining the two "fixed deposit" states would go up in flame if he can't stop his lawmakers jumping ship.
Not all lawmakers that have jumped and those contemplating leaving are popular with the people but the psychological war would do enough damage to BN supports in the two states.
Adding to the already tense situation is former Prime Minister Mahathir Mohammad unwelcome comments on various issues that do more harm than good to Najib and the BN.Maybe, it's time for Mahathir to disappear into the shadow or keep his opinion to himself and let Najib decides what he wants to do.
Mahathir seems to be picking up tempo again and is on a collision course with Najib, reminiscence of what he did to Pak Lah before the 2008 General Elections. He may have been partly responsible for BN poor performance then.
Mahathir 's statement on the issue of illegal immigrants in Sabah has ruffled feathers, particularly KDM leaders, both within and outside the BN.
The illegal immigrants issue is a political tool often used by KDM leaders to garner support from the KDM community and Mahathir opening a can of worms won't make happier days.
The bigger problem is in Peninsula Malaysia where the BN is facing an uphill battle to regain its credibility among the non-bumiputra communities with the most vociferous opposition coming from the Chinese community. The urban Malays are equally disenchanted with the government whom they see nothing more than a band of thieves.This perception, shared by many Malaysians is a death knell for BN. Najib's propaganda machine failed to counter the perception.
UMNO leaders are so inebriated with power, they are caught in a time warp that they could not escape from. The more than half a century running the nation have made them complacent, inertial, bankrupt of new ideas and politically out of sync with the people. They have become incapacitated, drifting in uncharted waters and have no idea how to deal with the oppositions. The opposition's war of attrition is gaining ground with the voters.
Their refusal to embrace the Internet in a big way shows the archaic mentality of party leaders.There is no influential pro-BN portal such as pro-Pakatan web portals the likes of Malaysiakini, Malaysian Insider and Malaysia Today. Free Malaysia Today, the new "enfant terrible" has also seen marked increase in its readership the past year. Besides the news portal, there are hundreds of pro-opposition blogs voluntarily helping the opposition in its war of attrition.
Many pro-BN blogs fall by the wayside because they, like UMNO politicians, will only work if they get paid handsomely.
Arrogance and 'bodoh sombong' abound in UMNO. They have a Home Minister who is out of touch with the world, a misaligned Deputy Prime Minister who is politically divergence from the Prime Minister and a misinformed Minister of Information who planned to turn a National Day celebration personifying the ruling party more than the nation and the people.
Some of Malaysia's billionaires and millionaires may already be covertly financing Anwar and the opposition as insurances in case Pakatan Rakyat come to power, they will not be left out.
The same happened in Sabah in 1985 when Pairin's barely 47 days old PBS took on Berjaya, some Chinese towkays gave money to both sides, to protect their business interests. PBS won with a single seat majority.
If Sabah and Sarawak failed to deliver at least two-thirds each of their MP seats, Najib can kiss good-bye the government, or if any consolation for Najib, Malaysia may end up with a 'hung parliament'