Monday, July 8, 2013
Was Washington Behind Egypt's Coup ?
Thursday, July 4, 2013
The End Of Morsi And Muslim Brotherhood:Live From Tahrir Square ?
Live from Tahrir Square.
Hantu Laut
After 20 years of Mubarak autocratic rule the Egyptians finally snapped and rose up to remove him through people's power popularly known as the "Arab Spring."
Mubarak was ousted in 2011 after 18 days of demonstrations by millions of Egyptians. Power was transferred to the Supreme Council of the Armed Forces. Egyptians all over the country were jubilant with the fall of Mubarak and look forward to a change for the better, a democratically elected president and civilian government.
Over a year later election was called and a new president was elected.
Muhammad Morsi was the first freely elected president of Egypt and just before his first anniversary in office huge demonstrations, bigger than the one that brought down Mubarak, flared across Egypt calling him to step down. The army gave him an ultimatum to step down, Morsi refused.
Morsi was finally removed by the army on 3rd July 2013. The situation still looked uncertain as the Muslim Brotherhood threatened to fight to the last to keep Morsi in office.
We always want change for the better, but sometimes change don't come the way we want it.
Is the CIA behind the scene?
Story here and here
Wednesday, July 3, 2013
Morsi Defies Military's Ultimatum
Monday, July 1, 2013
Anwar Beware Egypt:No More Rallies Please
The Arab countries are not yet ready for an open, modern and democratic society. They need "iron fist in a velvet glove" regime to maintain political stability.
The Arab Spring applauded by the West as the way to go for greater freedom and democracy have brought more harm and miseries than good to the Arab world. Regime change through violence and bloodshed is catalyst for more regime change through violence and bloodshed.
Those "who live by the sword, die by the sword"and Egypt is glowing for another regime change that may lead to full scale civil war if the government can't smother the violent uprising.
Scores of Egyptian have been killed in violence demonstrations and a bigger and bloodier days are expected as the country fell into chaos with clashes between pro and anti-government factions.
The core of discontent is President Muhammad Morsi, Egypt's first freely elected president. With just 30 months in office the people have grown tired of his incompetence. The country's economy is in shambles, in chronic state of stagnation and Mr Morsi is more interested in pursuing his Islamic agenda.
Before the general elections Anwar Ibrahim had mentioned a number of times of a Malaysian Spring for regime change. His refusal to accept the result of the elections is cause for concern. His gatherings of Blackout 505 rallies purportedly against electoral frauds were covers of more sinister plot.
Malaysians are still level-headed and peace loving, but Anwar should not push his luck and persist with his rally that could end up a putsch.
Protesters torched Muslim Brotherhood headquarters.
Read more in the Telegraph and in the Economist:
Monday, February 4, 2013
The Promise Of The Arab Spring
Thursday, March 1, 2012
Chop Suey!
Saturday, October 22, 2011
New Videos:The Qaddafis' Last Minute
Saturday, August 27, 2011
How to Catch Qaddafi
BY BENJAMIN RUNKLE
History has a strange way of repeating itself, often more quickly than anticipated. Within hours of invading Panama in 1989, U.S. forces had decimated the Panamanian Defense Forces and were greeted as liberators by the long-suffering Panamanian people. Yet the failure to immediately capture Gen. Manuel Noriega, the thuggish, pock-marked Panamanian strongman, dominated perceptions of Operation Just Cause. At the first post-invasion news conference in Washington, reporters asked: "Could we really consider Just Cause successful as long as we did not have Noriega in custody?"
More than a decade later, coalition forces overwhelmed the Iraqi Army and seized Baghdad after a lightning three-week campaign in spring 2003. But the ostensible target of the invasion, dictator Saddam Hussein, disappeared. Despite the initial euphoria of liberation, ordinary Iraqis were plagued by a sense of growing unease and disbelief as graffiti praising Saddam began to emerge in Iraq's so-called Sunni Triangle, bearing messages such as "Saddam is still our leader" and "Saddam the hero will be back." While Noriega was apprehended within two weeks and the feared guerrilla campaign never developed, Saddam evaded coalition forces for eight months, during which time the Sunni insurgency that killed tens of thousands of Iraqis and nearly devastated Iraq coalesced.
Today, Libya's fate may similarly hinge on the apprehension of a deposed dictator. For even as forces loyal to the Western-backed National Transitional Council (NTC) storm Tripoli and attempt to consolidate control, the shadow of missing strongman Col. Muammar al-Qaddafi looms large over the country's future. The head of the NTC's provisional government, Mustafa Abdel Jalil, said Wednesday, Aug. 24,"The matter won't come to an end except when he's captured dead or alive" and "we fear mayhem and destruction from him because these are his values, upbringing, and practices." Or as a homemaker in Tripoli told the Wall Street Journal, "A part of me will always fear that he might come back, and until I see him in jail or hanging, that fear will remain."
In other words, capturing Qaddafi is critical to avoiding prolonged civil strife and achieving a strategically acceptable outcome in Libya. Recognizing this fact, the NTC announced a bounty of 2 million Libyan dinars -- approximately $1.35 million -- to anyone who captures the ousted leader and offered amnesty for past crimes to any member of the strongman's inner circle who either captures or kills him.
Given that deploying SEAL Team 6 is not an option, as Barack Obama's administration and Congress are united in their commitment to avoid the deployment of U.S. forces to Libya, what is the most likely way to capture Qaddafi? In my book Wanted Dead or Alive: Manhunts from Geronimo to bin Laden, I recount the history of 11 previous strategic manhunts, examining which factors lead to success or failure in apprehending the targeted individual. I focus on six variables: the level of technology employed (both relative and absolute), troop strength, terrain, human intelligence, indigenous forces, and bilateral assistance.
I found four surprising conclusions. First, although U.S. forces almost always enjoy an edge in technology over their quarry, this advantage is never decisive. Second, troop strength is less important than the presence of reliable indigenous forces. Third, although terrain can influence individual campaigns, there is no single terrain type that predicts success or failure. Finally, more important than physical terrain is human terrain, or the ability to obtain intelligence tips from local populations or support from neighboring states to assist in the strategic manhunt.
Applied to Libya, these lessons suggest several courses of action necessary to apprehending Qaddafi.Read more.